Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.290837 0.345357 0.411144 0.497591 0.610058 7.541257e-01 0.957234
2024-12-15 0.209312 0.272703 0.359871 0.493232 0.701474 1.032562e+00 1.643498
2024-12-22 0.162389 0.225103 0.319472 0.480932 0.772274 1.331189e+00 2.675839
2024-12-29 0.138209 0.201415 0.303879 0.497072 0.895576 1.819321e+00 4.833837
2025-01-05 0.116860 0.176311 0.277897 0.483609 0.954327 2.233078e+00 7.827731
2025-01-12 0.103882 0.161812 0.265792 0.491382 1.064738 2.916392e+00 14.662343
2025-01-19 0.092258 0.147274 0.249886 0.485171 1.138159 3.602824e+00 26.887632
2025-01-26 0.084785 0.138749 0.243435 0.497871 1.275548 4.805616e+00 64.692682
2025-02-02 0.079286 0.132890 0.240939 0.519318 1.460575 6.735704e+00 231.677706
2025-02-09 0.074062 0.126697 0.236367 0.533917 1.638619 9.311344e+00 1524.761897
2025-02-16 0.069786 0.121717 0.233411 0.552223 1.854745 1.338908e+01 544780.893082
2025-02-23 0.065585 0.116289 0.228360 0.562812 2.054190 1.896790e+01 NaN
2025-03-02 0.061567 0.110846 0.222584 0.570524 2.262843 2.753547e+01 NaN
2025-03-09 0.057518 0.104868 0.214533 0.568524 2.426572 3.883330e+01 NaN
2025-03-16 0.053417 0.098320 0.203999 0.554684 2.509894 5.121185e+01 NaN
2025-03-23 0.051164 0.095577 0.202775 0.574568 2.865412 9.324556e+01 NaN
2025-03-30 0.047765 0.089896 0.192897 0.558360 2.933478 1.276926e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.045623 0.086857 0.189686 0.567813 3.246738 2.465308e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.043118 0.082730 0.182864 0.560297 3.404517 4.206399e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.041546 0.080633 0.181432 0.575700 3.844925 1.278471e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 0.040379 0.079371 0.182204 0.601766 4.501666 1.096391e+04 NaN
2025-05-04 0.039055 0.077595 0.181187 0.619549 5.138698 8.650198e+06 NaN
2025-05-11 0.037917 0.076166 0.181002 0.641895 5.965233 NaN NaN